Persepolis host Foolad Khuzestan in the Iranian Pro League

Persepolis have won three of their last five fixtures and conceded only twice. Foolad managed just seven points over the same stretch and twice failed to score.

The match is likely to stay under 2.5 goals. Persepolis average 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, Foolad 1.0 and 1.2. The 1.49 odds on under 2.5 imply a 67 % probability.

Bookmakers price a Persepolis win at 67 %, a draw at 28 % and a Foolad victory at 16 %. Given the gulf in quality and Persepolis’ home record, the actual chance of a home win sits around 68-70 %.