On 1 November Nashville defeated New York Red Bulls 3-2 at home. The visitors led at half-time, but the hosts turned the game around by creating 41 more dangerous attacks and converting their dominance. Nashville held 62 % possession, won 11 corners and avoided any cards, while the away side managed only three set-pieces and collected two yellows. The victory was built on sustained pressure and clinical finishing.

With an average total of 3.5, bookmakers price Over at 49 % and Under at 54 %. Given that Nashville scored at least twice in four of five matches and Red Bulls conceded in four of five, the probability of Over 3.5 is estimated at 52 %.

Odds of 1.47 on Nashville imply a 68 % chance of home win, 5.1 on draw equals 20 %, 6.46 on Red Bulls equals 15 %. Taking home advantage and better current form into account, Nashville’s chances are 66 %, draw 22 %, visitors 12 %.