Toulouse will host Troyes in matchweek 8 of Ligue 1.

Toulouse have been collecting points but remain inconsistent: a 2-2 draw with Monaco, a 2-3 loss to Pau, and a 3-2 win over Le Havre. Troyes are on a three-match losing streak without scoring.

The average goals per game for the hosts’ last five fixtures is 3.2, for the visitors 2.2. The bookmakers’ line stands at 2.5 with odds 1.67 / 2.4. The chance that the total goals exceed 2.5 is estimated at 58 %.

The 1X2 odds of 1.71 / 4.27 / 5.13 translate into implied probabilities of 55 %, 23 % and 22 %. Given home advantage and Toulouse’s three wins in the last five head-to-heads, the hosts hold the stronger position.