Gosport Borough will host Chichester City in the FA Trophy.
The hosts have mixed results lately: a 4-0 win over Basingstoke but a 0-3 defeat to Wimborne. Their defence has conceded seven goals in five games. The visitors are more consistent, securing three wins in five matches and scoring two or three goals regularly.
Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals market at 65.8 % and the under at 43.3 %. With Gosport averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, and Chichester 1.8 and 1.0, a 2–3 goal game looks most likely.
The probability of a home win is estimated at 50 %, a draw at 26.3 %, and an away win at 34.2 %. The close odds (2.0 vs 2.92) reflect a tight contest, but Gosport hold a slight edge at home.