In round 20 of the Azerbaijan Premier League Imishli host Shamakhi.

Imishli collected seven points from their last five matches, beating Turan Tovuz (1:0) and losing to Qarabag (0:2), Sabah (1:3), Neftchi (2:3) and Gabala (2:1). Shamakhi earned eight points in the same span, winning against Shafa Baku (3:2) and Araz-Nakhchivan (2:1), drawing with Zira (1:1) and Sumgayit (1:1) and losing to Kapaz (1:4).

The bookmaker line sets the total at 2.5 goals with odds 2.13 for over and 1.61 for under. In their last five fixtures Imishli scored 6 and conceded 11, Shamakhi scored 8 and conceded 9. The average goals in the five head-to-heads is 0.2. Probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38%, under at 62%.

Match odds are 2.91 for an Imishli win, 2.99 for a draw and 2.32 for a Shamakhi win. Given that four of the five previous meetings ended 0-0 and one was won by Shamakhi, the probability of a home win is assessed at 29%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 33%.