Parma vs Udinese in matchweek 27 of Serie A.

Parma have lost three of their last five fixtures, two of them by heavy margins, and concede an average of two goals per game. Udinese are also inconsistent, recording two wins, two defeats and a draw, but their defence looks slightly more solid, conceding 1.8 goals on average.

Bookmakers set the total line at 2.5 goals. Given Parma’s leaky defence and Udinese’s scoring rate of just over 1.5 goals per game, the probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 54 %, while under 2.5 is 46 %.

Parma win probability is 32 %, draw 29 %, Udinese win 39 %.