Felgueiras 1932 U23 vs Estoril U23, Portuguese U23 Championship
The hosts have not won either of their last two fixtures, losing 1-2 to Famalicão and 0-2 to Braga. The visitors played five matches, drawing 1-1 twice with Farense, losing 1-2 to Gil Vicente, but also winning 2-1 against Moreirense and drawing 3-3 with Gil Vicente.
The total is likely to go over 2.5 goals. The bookmaker’s line at 1.81 and the visitors’ average of 3.4 goals per game in their last five matches suggest a 55-58 % probability.
The probability of a Felgueiras win is estimated at 35 %, a draw at 28 %, and an Estoril win at 37 %. The nearly identical odds on both sides (2.58 vs 2.53) reflect the balanced chances.