Zalgiris Kaunas II against Dainava in the Lithuanian First League match.
Zalgiris Kaunas II recorded mixed results in their last five games: wins 3-2 over Garliava and 2-1 over Ekranas, but heavy defeats 0-2 and 0-5 to Transinvest II and Minija. Dainava look steadier with three wins and two draws.
The bookmaker line on total 3.5 goals carries odds of 2.06 for over and 1.65 for under. Zalgiris Kaunas II average 3.6 goals per game in their last five matches, Dainava average 3.4. Given the two previous head-to-heads that produced five and three goals, the probability of over 3.5 is estimated at 48%.
Odds of 5.54 on a Zalgiris Kaunas II win, 4.3 on a draw and 1.47 on Dainava point to a clear away advantage. Factoring in form and past meetings, the chance of a Dainava victory is assessed at 62%, a draw at 24% and a home win at 14%.