On Saturday, Imperia hosts Celle Varazze in matchday 26 of Italy’s Serie D.

Imperia’s last five games read 2-1-2, including home wins over Biellese and Fezzanese. Celle Varazze earned just one point from their last five outings, losing four times.

Bookmakers price over 2.5 goals at 49 % and under at 59 %. Imperia average 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Celle Varazze score 0.8 and concede 2.4. Combining odds and form, the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 46 % and under 54 %.

The quoted prices of 1.54-3.70-5.82 translate into implied probabilities of 65 % home win, 27 % draw and 17 % away win. Adjusted for recent form and head-to-head data, the estimated chances are 64 % for Imperia, 26 % for a draw and 10 % for Celle Varazze.