Alavés host Málaga in a Primera División fixture.

Alavés earned 4 points in their last five matches, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Málaga collected 5 points, netting 6 and conceding 10.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals line at 47 %, the under at 53 %. Alavés matches average 2.2 goals, Málaga’s at 3.2. Based on these figures, the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52 %, under 2.5 at 48 %.

The 1.78-3.78-5.33 odds imply 56 % chance for Alavés, 26 % for a draw, 18 % for Málaga. Adjusted for form, Alavés win probability is 53 %, draw 29 %, Málaga win 18 %.