Manchester United Women vs Manchester City Women. FA Women’s Super League.

United have won four of their last five fixtures, scoring 3.2 and conceding 1.2 goals per match. City collected 13 points from 15 available, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.

Across the last five head-to-heads the total goals ranged between two and five. With a combined average of 4.4 goals per game and bookmaker lines at 2.08 (Over 3.5) and 1.64 (Under 3.5), the probability for Over 3.5 stands at 48 % and Under 3.5 at 52 %.

Odds of 5.20 / 4.30 / 1.47 underline City’s dominance. Adjusting for United’s home record and City’s three-match derby winning streak, the estimated probabilities are: home win 18 %, draw 23 %, away win 59 %.