Orenburg host Rodina Moscow in the Russian Cup Round of 32.

After a 0:2 loss to Lokomotiv, Orenburg won their next two matches 4:0 against Dynamo Makhachkala and 3:2 against Tekstilshchik/Volgar. Rodina Moscow/Zenit Irkutsk lost 0:3 to CSKA and 2:4 to Spartak, yet remain in contention in their group.

Orenburg average 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in their last five matches. Rodina Moscow/Zenit Irkutsk score 2.2 and concede 2.8. The over 2.5 line is priced at 1.92, under at 1.95. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51%.

Odds for Orenburg victory stand at 1.9, draw 3.67, Rodina Moscow/Zenit Irkutsk win 4.23. Given home advantage and recent form, Orenburg win probability is assessed at 52%, draw 28%, Rodina Moscow/Zenit Irkutsk win 20%.