In the Maltese championship match, Floriana hosted Valletta. The visitors secured a narrow 1-0 victory. The only goal was scored in the very first minute of the game. The score remained unchanged after the first half. Valletta had slightly more possession (55 % vs 45 %) and earned three corners compared to five for the hosts. Floriana played a more disciplined game, receiving just one yellow card, while the visitors collected three. Neither side converted a penalty or received red cards.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals line at 47 %. Floriana average two goals scored and two conceded per game; Valletta average 2.2 scored and 0.4 conceded. Expected goals total around 2.8, suggesting a 53 % likelihood for over 2.5.

Odds of 2.45-3.05-2.59 translate to 41-33-39 % probabilities. Given Valletta’s defensive record and four straight wins, their chance of victory rises toward 42 %, Floriana’s drops to 35 %, and the draw sits at 23 %.