In the Turkish Super Lig clash, Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş shared the spoils in a 2-2 draw. The hosts held 41 % possession against 59 % for the visitors and earned five corners to two, yet Beşiktaş created more danger with 39 attacking moves compared to 23. Beşiktaş led 1-0 at half-time, but Kasımpaşa fought back in the second half to level the score. Each side received one yellow card, and no red cards were shown.

Over the last five games Kasımpaşa average 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Beşiktaş average 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. Given the odds of 1.78 for over 2.5 and 2.14 for under 2.5, the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53 %.

The 4.28-3.96-1.84 market points to a clear edge for Beşiktaş. Based on current form, the away side is given a 48 % chance of victory, the hosts 26 % and a draw 26 %.