Merthyr Town will host Morecambe in a Northern National League match.

Merthyr Town collected four points from their last five games, drawing with Kings Lynn Town, Darlington and Truro City, while losing to Marine. Morecambe remained unbeaten, securing three wins and two draws.

Merthyr Town average 2.2 goals per game, Morecambe 2.4. Given the 2.29 odds on over 3.5 goals, the probability of this line being exceeded is estimated at 43 %.

With odds of 2.26 for a home win and 2.53 for an away win, Merthyr Town’s victory chance is 41 %, Morecambe’s is 37 %, and a draw is assessed at 22 %.