Freiburg will host Bayern in matchweek 34 of the Bundesliga.

Freiburg have won three of their last five matches but conceded in each. Bayern collected 13 points over the same span yet let in seven goals, including three against Arsenal and three against Viking.

Bookmakers price the probability of over 3.5 goals at 58.5 % (odds 1.71). Given the sides’ average scoring rates (Freiburg 2.4, Bayern 4.0 per game) and 3.8 goals per game in their last five H2Hs, over remains the likelier outcome.

Bayern’s win probability is assessed at 70.4 % (1.42), the draw at 16.8 % (5.95) and Freiburg’s win at 14.2 % (7.03). Class differential and recent form point to a victory for the visitors.