The total line sits at 2.5. Odds of 2.25 for over and 1.57 for under imply roughly a 44 % chance of a high-scoring game. Masar average 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded; Mamelodi Sundowns average 4.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. The projected total is around 3.4 goals, lifting the probability of over to 58 %.
Bookmaker probabilities derived from 5.23–3.60–1.61 are 19 %–28 %–62 %. Sundowns collect 72 % of available points lately, Masar 60 %. Adjusting for squad quality and scoring difference, the estimated chances are 65 % for a Sundowns win, 23 % for a draw and 12 % for Masar.