Motor Lublin against Legia in the Polish Cup semi-final

Motor Lublin earned 7 points in their last five matches, alternating wins and losses, while Legia remained unbeaten, collecting 11 points.

With an average total line of 3.0, bookmakers price the probability of goals over the line at 50.5%. Considering both teams average 2.6 and 3.0 goals per game recently, the likelihood of over 3 goals is estimated at 48%.

Odds of 3.77 for home win, 3.87 for draw and 1.83 for away win translate to implied probabilities of 26.5%, 25.8% and 54.6%. Accounting for the quality gap and current form, Legia’s win probability is assessed at 52-55%.