Cobreloa and Everton Viña del Mar shared the spoils in a 2-2 draw in the Chilean league. The hosts edged possession (54 % vs 46 %) and created more attacks (64 vs 40), yet the visitors stayed disciplined, picking up just one yellow card compared with three for the home side. Both teams found the net once in the first half, and the decisive strikes came after the break. Each side converted a penalty, adding extra drama to an already tense contest.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals line at 59 %. Cobresal average 1.4 goals per game, Everton 1.8. Four of the last five head-to-heads cleared three goals, so the probability of over 2.5 is assessed at 62 %.

Cobresal win probability stands at 34 %, draw 28 %, Everton win 38 %. The quoted odds 2.95-3.55-2.09 align closely with these percentages.