Velika Gorica will face Lokomotiva Zagreb in the 23rd round of the Croatian championship.

Velika Gorica’s recent form is mixed: a 1-1 draw with Osijek, a 1-2 loss to Osijek’s youth side, a 3-3 draw with Bravo, a 1-1 draw with Maribor and a 0-1 win over Istra 1961. Lokomotiva Zagreb’s results are equally inconsistent: a 2-0 win over Istra, a 0-1 loss to Varazdin, a 2-3 loss to Dinamo Zagreb, a 1-1 draw with Rijeka and a 0-2 win over Tomislav.

Average goals per game over the last five matches stand at 2.8 for Velika Gorica and 3.0 for Lokomotiva Zagreb. With the over 2.5 line priced at 1.87, the probability of exceeding this total is around 51%.

Bookmaker odds of 2.36 on a Velika Gorica win, 3.2 on a draw and 2.92 on a Lokomotiva Zagreb win translate into implied probabilities of 42%, 31% and 34% respectively.