Hosts Spezia claimed a narrow 1-0 win over Atalanta in the opening round of Serie C Group B. The only goal arrived inside the opening minute and proved decisive. Spezia dominated possession with 56 % of the ball and earned six corners to four, while both teams finished the match without receiving a single card. Spezia also launched more dangerous attacks (49-40), underlining their superiority on the day.

With an average total of 2.5, bookmakers assess the probability of over 2.5 at 59%, and under at 50%. Spezia scores an average of 1.4 goals per game and concedes 0.6. Atalanta (23) scores 1.4 and concedes 1.4. Based on stats and odds, the probability of over 2.5 can be estimated at 52-55%.

Odds for Spezia win — 1.36 (about 74%), draw — 4.25 (24%), Atalanta (23) win — 7.23 (14%). Considering Spezia's form and class difference, the probability of a Spezia win is 68-72%, draw 20-24%, and Atalanta (23) win 8-12%.