Rochdale host Accrington Stanley in the 22nd round of the English League Two.

Rochdale recorded three draws and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Accrington Stanley claimed three wins and two draws, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.8 goals on average.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals line at 52.6 %. Given both sides average 2.4 and 2.2 goals per game respectively, the likelihood of surpassing 2.5 goals stands near 48 %.

Implied probabilities from the odds are 41 % for Rochdale, 37 % for Accrington Stanley and 30 % for the draw. Accounting for Rochdale’s home record and Accrington’s defensive consistency, realistic chances are 39 %, 35 % and 26 % respectively.