Lentigione host A.C. Crema 1908 in match-week 25 of Italy’s Serie D.

Lentigione collected 8 points from the last five matches, mixing wins and draws. Crema 1908 earned 7 points over the same span, twice suffering heavy defeats.

Lentigione average 1.4 goals per game, Crema 1908 1.8. The 2.5 total line is priced at 1.83/1.87, implying a 53 % chance of over. Given open games and defensive lapses, probability of over 2.5 goals is assessed at 54 %.

Odds 1.55 on Lentigione translate to a 64 % implied chance. Crema’s win probability stands at 17 % (5.82), draw at 19 % (3.65). Home advantage and three wins in five H2H meetings adjust the forecast to Lentigione 62 %, draw 20 %, Crema 1908 18 %.