In the opening round of the Uruguayan Championship, Danubio lost to Nacional Montevideo 1-2. The visitors took the lead in the very first minute, and the hosts equalised before half-time. In the second half Nacional used their superiority in corners and attacks to score the decisive goal. Both sides had equal possession, and four yellow cards were shown to each team.

The average goals per game for Danubio is 3.0, for Nacional — 2.6. With a total line of 2.5, bookmakers rate the probability of Over at 54% (1.85) and Under at 55% (1.82). Considering the teams’ scoring records, the probability of Over 2.5 is estimated at 52%.

Danubio’s win is priced at 25% (3.99), draw at 29% (3.48), Nacional’s win at 57% (1.76). Based on form and head-to-head history, Danubio’s win probability is 28%, draw 31%, and Nacional’s win 41%.