The hosts comfortably defeated NK Nafta 4-0 at home. Three goals were scored in the first half, with one more added after the break. The home side dominated possession with 68% and launched twice as many attacks (107 against 45). Six corners to three and a converted penalty helped them maintain full control throughout the match.

The total line is set at 3.5 goals, with odds 2.17 for over and 1.59 for under. Given Celje’s average of 1.4 goals scored and conceded per game and Nafta’s low-scoring profile, the probability of over 3.5 goals is estimated at 38%, while under 3.5 stands at 62%.

Celje’s win is priced at 1.41, implying a 68% chance. The draw at 4.45 suggests a 21% likelihood, and Nafta’s victory at 5.83 equates to an 11% probability.