In the English League Cup women’s tie, Wolverhampton edged Bristol City 2-1 on home soil. Both sides went into half-time level, but the second period produced all three goals. Bristol enjoyed marginally more possession (52 % vs 48 %) and won more corners (6-3), yet Wolves struck more telling blows and claimed the win.

Bookmakers price the over 3.5 goals at 46 % and the under at 63 %. Average goals per game for Wolves are 1.6, for Bristol City 2.0. With odds of 2.18 on over 3.5 and 1.58 on under 3.5, the under looks more likely.

Odds of 3.16 on Wolves, 3.68 on the draw and 1.92 on Bristol City translate into probabilities of 32 %, 27 % and 52 %. Given recent form and the head-to-head, a Bristol City win is the most probable outcome.