In a Portuguese third-tier clash, home side USK Paredes edged out Sao Joao Ver 2-1. The hosts struck as early as the first minute and doubled their lead before the break. The visitors pulled one back late on, but it proved only a consolation.

Statistically the sides were close: Sao Joao Ver enjoyed a slight edge in possession (51 %), yet Paredes created twice as many corners (6-3). Both teams collected few yellow cards and no reds were shown. Paredes’ strong first-half display secured the three points.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals line at 53.5 % and the under at 55.6 %. With USC Paredes averaging 2.6 goals scored per game and Sao Joao Ver conceding 1.0, the over 2.5 goals line looks the more probable outcome (58 %).

A home win is priced around 63 %, a draw at 28 % and an away win at 20 %. Given the home advantage and Paredes’ better attacking numbers, the hosts are the likelier winners.