In the Allsvenskan clash between Elfsborg and Örgryte, the hosts dominated possession with 70 % to 30 %, yet both sides found the net once. The first half ended goalless, but after the break Elfsborg created 11 corners to the visitors’ one and launched 85 dangerous attacks against 27. Despite the clear territorial edge, Örgryte snatched an equaliser on the counter. The final score stayed 1-1, underlining how possession does not always translate into goals.

The combined scoring rate of both sides in the last five fixtures is 2.4 goals per game. Bookmakers see a 72 % chance of a home win at odds of 1.39, with a 21 % draw probability and 14 % away win.

Given Elfsborg’s unbeaten home record in four of their last five matches and Örgryte’s 12 goals conceded in five away games, the estimated probability of a home win is 68 %, a draw 22 %, and an away win 10 %.