Ligorna and Sestri Levante played out a goalless draw in Serie D. The hosts enjoyed 51% possession compared to 49% for the visitors, yet neither side managed to create clear-cut chances. Ligorna won six corners to two, but their finishing lacked precision throughout the ninety minutes.
The match saw one red card issued to Ligorna, leaving them with ten men, while three yellow cards were shown to the hosts and two to the visitors. Although Ligorna recorded 45 attacks against 25, the numerical disadvantage and solid defending ensured the points were shared.
Given the over/under 2.5 odds (1.96 / 1.75) and average scoring rates (Ligorna 2.0, Sestri Levante 0.4), the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48 % and under at 52 %.
Bookmaker prices of 1.69 – 3.40 – 4.94 translate to a 52 % chance of a Ligorna win, 29 % for a draw and 19 % for a Sestri Levante victory.