On 1 November 2026, Rayong hosted Lamphun Warriors in the Thai Premier League and suffered a 0-3 defeat. The visitors struck as early as the first minute and were three goals ahead by half-time. Despite enjoying twice as much possession (67 % vs 33 %) and earning ten corners to four, the hosts failed to turn their territorial dominance into goals. Lamphun Warriors remained clinical, finished the match with one player sent off and kept a clean sheet.

The bookmaker line on 2.5 goals is 1.70 for over and 1.99 for under. Given Rayong average 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Lampang Warrior average 2.2 and 0.8, the probability of over 2.5 goals is assessed at 54 %.

Odds of 2.25-3.32-2.76 translate into implied probabilities of 44-30-36 %. Considering Lampang Warrior’s current form and the head-to-head record with four high-scoring encounters, the estimated probabilities are Rayong win 35 %, Lampang Warrior win 38 %, draw 27 %.