Arsenal Dzherzhinsk vs Dnepr Mogilev, Belarusian Premier League.

Arsenal Dzherzhinsk conceded in three of their last five matches and drew twice. Dnepr Mogilev won two of five and let in more than two goals three times.

With the line at 2.5, odds are 1.9 for over and 1.8 for under. Given Dnepr’s 2.5 goals per game and Arsenal’s 1.8, the probability of over 2.5 is about 51 %.

Odds 2.55-3.2-2.66 translate into probabilities of 39 % for Arsenal win, 31 % for a draw and 38 % for Dnepr win.