Lucchese host Ghiwiborgo in an Italian Serie D fixture

Lucchese collected 8 points from the last five matches, winning twice, drawing twice and losing once. Ghiwiborgo earned 5 points in the same period, with one win and three draws.

The total line is set at 2.5 goals with odds 1.72 for over and 2.00 for under. Lucchese averaged 3.4 goals per game in their last five outings, while Ghiwiborgo averaged 2.2. Given these numbers and the bookmaker line, the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53-55%.

The 1.44 odds on a Lucchese win signal clear favoritism. The estimated probability for a home win stands at 60-62%, a draw at 22-24%, and an away win at 15-16%.