Aston Villa vs Manchester City, English Premier League

Aston Villa scored 15 and conceded 4 in their last five matches, winning three. Manchester City collected 13 points with a 18-13 goal difference over the same period.

The bookmaker line for 3.5 goals stands at 2.36 for over and 1.69 for under. Considering the teams’ average scoring rate (Villa 3.8, City 4.2 goals per game), the probability of over 3.5 goals is estimated at 51 %, under at 49 %.

Odds: Aston Villa win 4.93 (20 %), draw 4.42 (23 %), Manchester City win 1.71 (57 %).