Huracán del Paso de la Arena will host Oriental La Paz in the Uruguayan Championship Second Division.
Huracán collected seven points from their last five matches: a 2-1 win over Miramar Misiones and draws with Fenix Montevideo and Tacuarembó, but suffered defeats to Colón Montevideo and Atlético Rentistas. Oriental earned eight points: wins 3-2 against Fenix Montevideo and 2-0 at Atlético Rentistas, plus draws with Uruguay Montevideo and Colón Montevideo, and a loss to River Plate Montevideo.
The bookmaker line on the 2.5-goal total is priced at 2.11 for over and 1.62 for under. Huracán average 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Oriental average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. Given a tendency toward moderate scoring, the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44 %, under 2.5 at 56 %.
The 1X2 odds are 3.24 for a home win, 3.13 for a draw, and 2.08 for an away win. Considering current form and recent head-to-head results, the chances are 31 % for Huracán, 32 % for a draw, and 37 % for Oriental.