In a Liga 3 clash, home side Lusitano de Évora fell 0-1 to GD Vitória de Serpa. The only goal arrived in the very first minute and set the tone for the match. Despite enjoying 46 % possession and earning nine corners to the visitors’ eight, the hosts could not find a way through. The away side remained compact and disciplined, picking up just one yellow card compared with four for Lusitano.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals line at 49.5 % and the under at 59.5 %. Given both sides’ scoring records, a match with three or more goals edges slightly ahead in likelihood.

A home win is assessed at 59.9 %, a draw at 29.9 % and an away win at 21.1 %. The gap in odds and the home advantage tilt the balance toward Lusitano.