The bookmakers’ line on over 3.5 goals (odds 1.59) appears justified: Strømsgodset average 3.2 goals per game lately, while Moss/Arendal concede 2.4 on average. The probability of over 3.5 goals is estimated at 58-62%.
The 1.23 odds on a Strømsgodset win underline their clear edge. Their chances of victory are put at 72-76%. A draw is around 16-18%, while an away win is unlikely at 8-12%.