Mumbai City hosted Sporting Delhi in the Indian Super League and secured a 2-1 victory. Both goals came in the opening half, giving the hosts a comfortable cushion. Despite Sporting Delhi enjoying 54 % possession and creating more dangerous attacks (86 vs 53), they could not find an equaliser. The visitors earned six corners to four and picked up all three yellow cards, but Mumbai City’s clinical finishing proved decisive.

Bookmakers price the over/under 2.5 goals market almost evenly (1.85 for over, 1.82 for under). Mumbai City average 2.4 goals per recent game, Sporting Delhi 3.4. Given that four of the last five head-to-heads featured three or more goals, the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53%.

The 1.61 odds on Mumbai City reflect their home advantage. The estimated probabilities are 55% for Mumbai City to win, 24% for a draw and 21% for Sporting Delhi.