In the English League Cup women’s match Durham at home lost to Newcastle United 1-5. The visitors took the lead in the first minute and by half-time led 2-1. Newcastle added further goals after the break to seal a comfortable win. Durham had 43 % possession against 57 %, won more corners (5-3), yet conceded more attacks (54-62).

With the total line at 3.5 the odds are 2.03 for over and 1.67 for under. Both teams average more than 3.7 goals per game recently, giving the over a 55% chance.

Odds of 10.9 for a Durham win, 5.95 for a draw and 1.18 for Newcastle United translate to approximate probabilities of 8%, 15% and 77%.