Varese host Solbiatese in round 34 of Italy’s Serie D.

The hosts collected 7 points from their last five games, highlighted by a 5-1 win over Arconatese and a 2-5 loss to Pro Patria. The visitors earned 8 points, including a 4-1 win at USD Castellanese and a 1-1 draw at Pro Sesto.

With the line set at 2.5, the bookmaker prices the over at 49 % and the under at 51 %. Varese average 2.0 goals scored and 2.8 conceded; Solbiatese 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. A 2-3 goal match therefore carries a 52 % probability.

Odds 1.91-3.3-3.8 translate into 52 %-30 %-26 % probabilities. Factoring in home advantage and Varese’s slightly higher scoring rate, the adjusted chances are 48 % home win, 29 % draw, 23 % away win.