EFL faces FBK Karlstad in the Swedish Division 1.

EFL’s recent form is patchy: two losses, two draws and one win. The side has conceded in four of the last five fixtures. FBK Karlstad look steadier with three wins, one draw and one defeat. They earned a 3-1 victory away at Umeå and held AFC Eskilstuna to a 2-2 draw.

The combined goal tally for the last five matches is 11 for EFL and 13 for FBK Karlstad, averaging 2.4 goals per game. With the over 2.5 line priced around 1.90-2.00, the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53 %.

The bookmaker quotes 2.38 for a home win, 3.55 for a draw and 2.50 for an away win. Factoring in home advantage and recent H2H, the probabilities stand at 38 % for EFL, 28 % for a draw and 34 % for FBK Karlstad.