Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliet de Benguela, CAF Champions League

Mamelodi Sundowns enter the match in solid form, unbeaten in four games and featuring a win against Al-Ahli. Wiliet de Benguela have recorded three wins and one draw, yet against considerably weaker opposition.

The combined goals scored and conceded in the teams’ recent fixtures hover around the 2,5 mark. Bookmaker odds for over/under 2,5 goals (1,67/2,04) are almost level, suggesting a 48–52 % chance of either outcome.

Odds of 1,12 on a Sundowns victory translate to an 82 % implied probability, a draw sits at roughly 13 %, and a Wiliet win is priced at about 5 %.