Bukhara vs Surkhan, Uzbekistan Super League

Bukhara’s recent form includes a draw with Lokomotiv Tashkent, a loss to Al Wahda and wins over Andijan and Bunyodkor. Surkhan has kept clean sheets in draws with Khorezm and Qizilqum and secured narrow victories.

Bookmakers price the over 2.5 goals market at 49.5% and under at 57.5%. Based on the last five matches, Bukhara average 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Surkhan average 0.4 each. The probability of a high-scoring game is estimated at 52%.

Implied probabilities from odds are Bukhara win 50.3%, draw 30.1%, Surkhan win 26.6%. Adjusted for recent results, Bukhara’s chances are 48%, draw 32%, Surkhan win 20%.