Velež will host Borac Banja Luka in round 14 of the Bosnian Premier League.

Velež collected six points from the last five games, keeping three clean sheets but losing twice by a two-goal margin. Banja Luka earned eight points over the same stretch, winning twice, drawing once and losing twice, conceding at least two goals in four of those matches.

Bookmaker odds imply a 46 % chance of over 2.5 goals. Velež average 0.4 goals per game recently, Banja Luka 2.0. An expected total around 2.3 goals suggests the probability of clearing 2.5 lies between 47 % and 49 %.

Odds of 1.90–3.18–3.78 translate to implied probabilities of 51 % home win, 30 % draw and 25 % away win. Adjusting for home advantage and defensive record, Velež’s true chance of victory is closer to 48–50 %.