Molde will host Fredrikstad in round 12 of the Norwegian Eliteserien.

Molde have conceded only three goals in the last five rounds and kept two clean sheets. Fredrikstad have failed to win on the road in their last four matches and scored just three times during that spell.

Bookmakers price the over 3.5 goals market at 47 % and the under at 53 %. Across their previous five fixtures Molde averaged 3.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Fredrikstad posted 1.2 and 1.4. A match total of three goals or fewer looks the likelier outcome.

Odds of 1.49–4.88–5.85 translate into implied probabilities of 65 % for Molde, 19 % for the draw and 16 % for Fredrikstad. Given the gap in recent form, the hosts’ chance of securing three points is assessed at 62–64 %.