Bookmakers price the over 3.5 goals line at 46.5 % and the under at 62.5 %. With Chaslav averaging 2.4 goals per game and Varnsdorf 2.8, the estimated probability of over 3.5 goals stands near 41 %.
Odds of 2.95-3.58-2.04 translate into implied probabilities of 33 % for Chaslav, 27 % for a draw and 48 % for Varnsdorf. Considering the visitors’ three wins in the last five head-to-heads and their recent form, the adjusted chances are 30 % home win, 25 % draw and 45 % away win.