Daugavpils average 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over the last five games, while Tukums manage 0.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. Given these modest totals and the absence of an official over/under line, the probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38 %.
Bookmaker odds stand at 1.74 for a Daugavpils win, 3.75 for a draw and 3.95 for a Tukums victory. Considering home strength and current form, the estimated probabilities are 52 % for Daugavpils, 27 % for a draw and 21 % for Tukums.