Valencia host Villarreal in matchday 38 of La Liga

Valencia have gone five games without a win: draws with Athletic and Racing, defeats to Real Sociedad and Sevilla. Villarreal recorded three wins, two draws and one loss in the same span, showing steadier form

With a 2.5 total line, odds sit at 1.79 over and 2.19 under. Valencia concede 1.2 goals per game lately, Villarreal score 1.6. Probability for over is assessed at 54 %, under at 46 %

Odds 3.33-3.7-2.25 suggest a slight edge for Villarreal. Considering current form and head-to-head, Valencia win chance is 27 %, draw 29 %, Villarreal win 44 %