Universidad Guadalajara delivered a confident performance against Tepatitlan Morelos in the Liga de Expansión MX. Leading 2:1 at halftime, the hosts sealed a 3:1 victory late on. The visitors were reduced to ten men after a red card, which altered the flow of the game.

Universidad Guadalajara dominated possession with 66 % compared to 34 %, earned 14 corners to 3, and registered 98 dangerous attacks against 32. Tepatitlan Morelos tried to respond, but the sending-off and limited activity prevented a comeback.

The total line stands at 3.5 goals, priced 1.89 over and 1.78 under. Universidad Guadalajara average 3.8 goals per game in their last five matches, Tepatitlan 3.4. The probability of over 3.5 goals is estimated at 52-55 %.

Betting odds: 1.23 on a home win, 5.6 the draw, 8.7 the away win. Given the gap in quality and current form, Universidad Guadalajara are around 68 % likely to win, a draw 22 %, and Tepatitlan 10 %.