Bookmakers set the total line at 4.5 with equal odds of 1.85 for both over and under, implying a 48 % chance for each outcome. Based on the teams’ recent scoring averages, the projected goal count is approximately 6.4. The probability that the match exceeds 4.5 goals is therefore estimated at 62 %.

The 1X2 odds of 1.12-9.6-9.8 translate into implied probabilities of 86 % for Farul, 10 % for a draw and 9 % for Gloria. Adjusting for squad quality and recent form, Farul’s win probability is assessed at 82 %, a draw at 12 % and Gloria’s win at 6 %.