On Sunday evening at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, the home side will host Excelsior in round 23 of the Eredivisie.

The hosts have collected two wins and three draws from their last five matches, while the visitors recorded one win, one draw and three defeats.

The total line is set at 3.5 goals. The odds for over (2.39) are shorter than for under (1.6), suggesting an open game. The average goals per game for the hosts and visitors over the last five fixtures are 3.6 and 3.8 respectively. Probability of over 3.5 goals is estimated at 58%.

Win probability for the hosts stands at 42%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 31%. The odds 2.4 / 3.71 / 2.81 reflect a slight edge for Fortuna Sittard.